Avia Swidnik 1-3 Ruch Chorzow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.65
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
56%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+4.2pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
56%
Away Win
58%
-2.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.5pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avia Swidnik EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 62%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
3.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+122% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
309 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avia Swidnik
1-3
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Avia Swidnik vs Ruch Chorzow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ruch Chorzow got the better of Avia Swidnik 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ruch Chorzow as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Avia Swidnik had 44% of the ball to Ruch Chorzow's 56%, shots finished 10-15.

What was the final score of Avia Swidnik vs Ruch Chorzow?

Avia Swidnik 1-3 Ruch Chorzow in the Poland - Cup on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avia Swidnik vs Ruch Chorzow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ruch Chorzow win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Avia Swidnik 23%, draw 21%, Ruch Chorzow 56%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ruch Chorzow) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ruch Chorzow) ✗ BTTS No
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