Dren Vrhnika 1-3 Bistrica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - Cup, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-6.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.1pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dren Vrhnika EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Bistrica EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Dren Vrhnika vs Bistrica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bistrica got the better of Dren Vrhnika 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bistrica as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Dren Vrhnika vs Bistrica?

Dren Vrhnika 1-3 Bistrica in the Slovenia - Cup on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dren Vrhnika vs Bistrica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bistrica win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dren Vrhnika 27%, draw 26%, Bistrica 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bistrica), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bistrica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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