Coastal Union 1-0 Kagera Sugar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.02
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
33%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.44
Over 2.5
50%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.33
No
50%
1.53
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
46%
-12.4pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.7pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
66%
-15.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
34%
+15.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
39%
+11.2pp
50%
BTTS No
61%
-11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coastal Union EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kagera Sugar EU Bookmakers 27%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
0.74/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.12
-37% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coastal Union
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kagera Sugar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
05.02.2022 Kagera Sugar Kagera Sugar 2-1 Coastal Union Coastal Union Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
POST-MATCH Coastal Union vs Kagera Sugar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coastal Union squeezed past Kagera Sugar 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Coastal Union made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Coastal Union vs Kagera Sugar?

Coastal Union 1-0 Kagera Sugar in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coastal Union vs Kagera Sugar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coastal Union win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Coastal Union 33%, draw 33%, Kagera Sugar 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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