Mbarara City 1-3 Vipers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.46
Draw
40%
2.83
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.36
Over 2.5
30%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
26%
-2.6pp
40%
Draw
32%
+8.3pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.7pp
70%
Under 2.5
70%
+0.3pp
30%
Over 2.5
30%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.2pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mbarara City EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Vipers EU Bookmakers 46%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.87
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mbarara City
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Vipers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
05.04.2022 Vipers Vipers 2-0 HT 1-0 Mbarara City Mbarara City UGA
19.11.2021 Mbarara City Mbarara City 1-2 HT 0-1 Vipers Vipers UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mbarara City
1-3
AWAY Vipers
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mbarara City vs Vipers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vipers saw off Mbarara City 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 23% / 40% / 37% — and on the day Vipers made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mbarara City had 49% of the ball to Vipers's 51%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vipers led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mbarara City and 2.00 for Vipers.

What was the final score of Mbarara City vs Vipers?

Mbarara City 1-3 Vipers in the Uganda - Premier League on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mbarara City vs Vipers?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mbarara City 23%, draw 40%, Vipers 37%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →