29/10/2024
·
21:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
Torque vs 18 de Julio Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
75%
20%
Draw
15%
14%
Away Win
10%
42%
Under 2.5
30%
58%
Over 2.5
70%
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
55%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Torque v 18 de Julio — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Torque
EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY
18 de Julio
EU Bookmakers 12%
+11% /
+11%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+150%
/
-60%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
58%
Ball Possession
42%
17
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
476 · 86%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
276 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.0
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Torque vs 18 de Julio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Torque ran out comfortable winners over 18 de Julio 4-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Torque as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Torque vs 18 de Julio?
Torque 4-0 18 de Julio in the Uruguay Cup on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Torque vs 18 de Julio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Torque win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Torque 66%, draw 20%, 18 de Julio 14%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torque), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Torque)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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29 Oct 2024