Poblense 1-2 Sabadell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Copa del Rey, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
49%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
29%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
49%
Away Win
42%
+6.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Poblense EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabadell EU Bookmakers 46%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-9% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Poblense vs Sabadell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabadell edged past Poblense 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sabadell as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Poblense vs Sabadell?

Poblense 1-2 Sabadell in the Spain - Copa del Rey on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Poblense vs Sabadell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sabadell win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Poblense 24%, draw 27%, Sabadell 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sabadell) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sabadell) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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