Karacabey Belediye Spor 3-1 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeşilyurt Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 23%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
+46% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -54%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
378 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
19.02.2020 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-0 HT 1-0 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor Yeşilyurt Belediyespor S3-3
09.10.2019 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 3-1 HT 0-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor S3-3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor
3-1
AWAY Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karacabey Belediye Spor saw off Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Karacabey Belediye Spor as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Karacabey Belediye Spor had 57% of the ball to Yeşilyurt Belediyespor's 43%, shots finished 21-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Karacabey Belediye Spor and 1.50 for Yeşilyurt Belediyespor.

What was the final score of Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor?

Karacabey Belediye Spor 3-1 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor in the Turkey - Cup on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karacabey Belediye Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Karacabey Belediye Spor 55%, draw 25%, Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor) ✓ BTTS Yes
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