Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Southampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 29 Nov 2024

Brighton & Hove Albion
1-1 HT 1-0
Southampton
📅29/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Southampton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.89
Over 2.5
63%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.84
2-3 Goals
37%
2.19
4-5 Goals
31%
2.52
6+ Goals
14%
5.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.81
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
20.4
X/1
18%
4.42
X/2
8%
16.5
X/X
8%
9.33
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.55
2/2
8%
10.7
2/X
7%
20.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.55 — our 10% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.0pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.9pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.0pp
37%
Under 2.5
31%
+6.3pp
63%
Over 2.5
69%
-6.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.9pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brighton & Hove Albion v Southampton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Southampton EU Bookmakers 19%
-12% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -23%
1.77/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.62
-26% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -11%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
476 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
33.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
23.0 Crosses 17.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Southampton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Southampton
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.54 xG 1.15
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
364 Passes 287
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.05.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 3-1 HT 2-0 Southampton Southampton İNP
26.12.2022 Southampton Southampton 1-3 HT 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
24.04.2022 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 2-2 HT 2-1 Southampton Southampton İNP
04.12.2021 Southampton Southampton 1-1 HT 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
14.03.2021 Southampton Southampton 1-2 HT 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
07.12.2020 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-2 HT 1-1 Southampton Southampton İNP

Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Southampton — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
1-1
AWAY Southampton
1.68 xG 1.01
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
414 Passes 368
90% Pass Accuracy 87%
44 Box Touches 21
32 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion vs Southampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion and Southampton couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Brighton & Hove Albion at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion had 52% of the ball to Southampton's 48%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 1.68 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brighton & Hove Albion had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion and 1.33 for Southampton.

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion vs Southampton?

Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Southampton in the England - Premier League on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Southampton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brighton & Hove Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion 54%, draw 24%, Southampton 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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