FSV Zwickau 1-0 BFC Dynamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+5.7pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.0pp
46%
Away Win
48%
-1.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.7pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FSV Zwickau EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Dynamo EU Bookmakers 52%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +14%
1.73/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/1.14
+37% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
216 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FSV Zwickau
0W-0D-2L
AWAY BFC Dynamo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
15.12.2023 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 0-1 HT 0-0 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
29.07.2023 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 3-0 HT 1-0 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH FSV Zwickau vs BFC Dynamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FSV Zwickau nicked a narrow win over BFC Dynamo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was BFC Dynamo at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, BFC Dynamo led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for FSV Zwickau and 2.00 for BFC Dynamo.

What was the final score of FSV Zwickau vs BFC Dynamo?

FSV Zwickau 1-0 BFC Dynamo in the Germany - Regional League on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FSV Zwickau vs BFC Dynamo?

Before kick-off our model rated an BFC Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FSV Zwickau 32%, draw 21%, BFC Dynamo 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (BFC Dynamo), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BFC Dynamo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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