Arba Minch Kenema 1-3 Mekelakeya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
45%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.6pp
45%
Away Win
40%
+4.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arba Minch Kenema EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -20%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
250 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arba Minch Kenema
1-3
AWAY Mekelakeya
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelakeya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mekelakeya saw off Arba Minch Kenema 3-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mekelakeya as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arba Minch Kenema had 45% of the ball to Mekelakeya's 55%, shots finished 7-9.

What was the final score of Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelakeya?

Arba Minch Kenema 1-3 Mekelakeya in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelakeya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Arba Minch Kenema 29%, draw 26%, Mekelakeya 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mekelakeya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mekelakeya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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