Bastia 2-0 Nancy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 29 Nov 2024

Bastia
2-0 HT 1-0
Nancy
📅29/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Cup – 2024/2025

Bastia vs Nancy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.0pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bastia v Nancy — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bastia EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Nancy EU Bookmakers 24%
-66% / -66% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.13
-31% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Bastia vs Nancy Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bastia
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nancy
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.74 xG 1.01
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
327 Passes 300
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.01.2022 Nancy Nancy 2-1 HT 1-0 Bastia Bastia FR2
11.08.2021 Bastia Bastia 1-1 HT 1-0 Nancy Nancy FR2
14.01.2017 Nancy Nancy 1-0 HT 0-0 Bastia Bastia FR1
21.09.2016 Bastia Bastia 0-0 HT 0-0 Nancy Nancy FR1
18.05.2013 Nancy Nancy 1-2 HT 0-0 Bastia Bastia FR1
22.12.2012 Bastia Bastia 4-2 HT 3-0 Nancy Nancy FR1
POST-MATCH Bastia vs Nancy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bastia saw off Nancy 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bastia as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bastia and 1.17 for Nancy.

What was the final score of Bastia vs Nancy?

Bastia 2-0 Nancy in the France - Cup on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bastia vs Nancy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bastia 48%, draw 28%, Nancy 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bastia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bastia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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