29/11/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Highbury vs Baroka Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
40%
27%
Draw
30%
26%
Away Win
30%
72%
Under 2.5
64%
28%
Over 2.5
36%
33%
BTTS Yes
42%
67%
BTTS No
58%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Highbury v Baroka — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Highbury
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Baroka
EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+3% /
+6%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+0%
/
-4%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
12
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
5
312 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
260 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
0.8
POST-MATCH
Highbury vs Baroka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Baroka squeezed past Highbury 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Highbury at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (67%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Highbury vs Baroka?
Highbury 0-1 Baroka in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Highbury vs Baroka?
Before kick-off our model rated a Highbury win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Highbury 47%, draw 27%, Baroka 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Highbury) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Highbury)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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More South Afrika - 1st Division
29 Nov 2024