SuperSport United 0-1 Marumo Gallants — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.4
No
64%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.09
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
5.81
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.7pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
38%
-1.1pp
64%
BTTS No
62%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SuperSport United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -3%
1.20/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.15
-8% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
24.8 Crosses 18.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SuperSport United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Marumo Gallants
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.24 xG 0.54
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
236 Passes 347
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2023 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 0-0 HT 0-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
30.12.2022 SuperSport United SuperSport United 1-0 HT 0-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
23.04.2022 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 0-0 HT 0-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
20.11.2021 SuperSport United SuperSport United 1-2 HT 1-1 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
12.05.2021 SuperSport United SuperSport United 1-0 HT 0-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
04.02.2021 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 1-0 HT 0-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SuperSport United
0-1
AWAY Marumo Gallants
1.34 xG 1.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
363 Passes 367
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SuperSport United vs Marumo Gallants
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marumo Gallants squeezed past SuperSport United 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was SuperSport United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, SuperSport United had 51% of the ball to Marumo Gallants's 49%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 1.34 to 1.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for SuperSport United and 0.50 for Marumo Gallants.

What was the final score of SuperSport United vs Marumo Gallants?

SuperSport United 0-1 Marumo Gallants in the South Afrika - Premier League on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SuperSport United vs Marumo Gallants?

Before kick-off our model rated a SuperSport United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split SuperSport United 42%, draw 29%, Marumo Gallants 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (SuperSport United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SuperSport United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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