NEC 2-1 SC Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 29 Nov 2024

NEC
2-1 HT 0-0
SC Villa
📅29/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
37%
3.11
Away
27%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.62
Over 2.5
36%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
21%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.3pp
37%
Draw
29%
+8.7pp
27%
Away Win
36%
-8.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
58%
+6.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
42%
-6.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.8pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NEC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY SC Villa EU Bookmakers 39%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.32/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.85
+40% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NEC
2-1
AWAY SC Villa
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH NEC vs SC Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NEC edged past SC Villa 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 37% / 27%) promised a tight game; NEC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, NEC had 46% of the ball to SC Villa's 54%, shots finished 15-12.

What was the final score of NEC vs SC Villa?

NEC 2-1 SC Villa in the Uganda - Premier League on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NEC vs SC Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split NEC 36%, draw 37%, SC Villa 27%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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