Airdrieonian 4-0 Hamilton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
34%
3.54
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.2pp
34%
Draw
25%
+8.8pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.0pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Airdrieonian EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamilton EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Airdrieonian
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Hamilton
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
20.05.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 2-1 HT 1-0 Airdrieonian Airdrieonian İskoçya - Championship Play-out
17.05.2023 Airdrieonian Airdrieonian 1-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İskoçya - Championship Play-out
28.07.2012 Hamilton Hamilton 0-1 HT 0-0 Airdrieonian Airdrieonian İKCK
POST-MATCH Airdrieonian vs Hamilton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Airdrieonian ran out comfortable winners over Hamilton 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 34% / 27%) promised a tight game; Airdrieonian found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Airdrieonian had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Airdrieonian and 0.67 for Hamilton.

What was the final score of Airdrieonian vs Hamilton?

Airdrieonian 4-0 Hamilton in the Scotland - Cup on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Airdrieonian vs Hamilton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Airdrieonian win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Airdrieonian 39%, draw 34%, Hamilton 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Airdrieonian), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Airdrieonian) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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