Raith Rovers 1-0 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.1pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.7pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.5pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 21%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.95/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/3.34
-2% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raith Rovers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
24.07.2021 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKLK
17.04.2021 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-2 HT 1-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
27.02.2021 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 3-1 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKCL
26.12.2020 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-5 HT 0-2 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
05.05.2018 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-2 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
02.05.2018 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İK1
POST-MATCH Raith Rovers vs Alloa Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raith Rovers nicked a narrow win over Alloa Athletic 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Raith Rovers as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raith Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Raith Rovers and 1.33 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Raith Rovers vs Alloa Athletic?

Raith Rovers 1-0 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - Cup on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raith Rovers vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raith Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Raith Rovers 49%, draw 31%, Alloa Athletic 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raith Rovers), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Raith Rovers) ✓ BTTS No
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