Bristol Rovers vs Notts County Prediction — Model Probabilities
Bristol Rovers v Notts County — Team-Based Signals
Bristol Rovers vs Notts County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Bristol Rovers 0-1 Notts County — Actual Match Statistics
Notts County edged past Bristol Rovers 1-0 on the road. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Notts County found the edge the numbers couldn't.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 54% on both teams scoring.
Under the surface, possession split 68% to 32% in Bristol Rovers's favour, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 2.38 to 0.23 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bristol Rovers.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol Rovers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Bristol Rovers against 0.83 for Notts County.
Bristol Rovers vs Notts County Result & Final Score
Bristol Rovers 0 - 1 Notts County in the England - 2nd Division on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Bristol Rovers vs Notts County Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bristol Rovers 32%, draw 28%, Notts County 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Notts County), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.