Needham Market 1-0 Alvechurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
23%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
47%
+4.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
23%
Away Win
27%
-4.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.9pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Needham Market EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
1.45/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.47
-10% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Needham Market
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Alvechurch
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 0-3 HT 0-1 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
26.08.2023 Needham Market Needham Market 2-0 HT 1-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
07.04.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 1-1 HT 0-1 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
31.01.2023 Needham Market Needham Market 0-3 HT 0-1 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
19.03.2022 Needham Market Needham Market 1-1 HT 0-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
11.01.2022 Alvechurch Alvechurch 2-3 HT 2-0 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Needham Market
1-0
AWAY Alvechurch
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Needham Market vs Alvechurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Needham Market edged past Alvechurch 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Needham Market as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Needham Market had 54% of the ball to Alvechurch's 46%, shots finished 6-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Needham Market had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Needham Market and 1.17 for Alvechurch.

What was the final score of Needham Market vs Alvechurch?

Needham Market 1-0 Alvechurch in the England - Non League Premier on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Needham Market vs Alvechurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Needham Market win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Needham Market 52%, draw 25%, Alvechurch 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Needham Market), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Needham Market) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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