Karabağ 2-0 Karvan Evlakh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.16
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
6%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
2%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
2%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Karabağ win — 77%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
82%
-4.9pp
17%
Draw
13%
+4.4pp
6%
Away Win
6%
+0.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.3pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karabağ EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvan Evlakh EU Bookmakers 8%
-6% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.47/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/2.01
+21% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +3%
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
458 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karabağ
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Karvan Evlakh
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
31.08.2025 Karvan Evlakh Karvan Evlakh 0-2 HT 0-1 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
POST-MATCH Karabağ vs Karvan Evlakh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ got the better of Karvan Evlakh 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

What was the final score of Karabağ vs Karvan Evlakh?

Karabağ 2-0 Karvan Evlakh in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karabağ vs Karvan Evlakh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 77%, draw 17%, Karvan Evlakh 6%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karabağ) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
29 Nov 2025
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