Treowen Stars vs Newport City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Treowen Stars v Newport City — Team-Based Signals
Treowen Stars got the better of Newport City 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
This one beat our numbers. Newport City carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (76%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Treowen Stars vs Newport City?
Treowen Stars 2-0 Newport City in the Wales - FAW Championship on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Treowen Stars vs Newport City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Newport City win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Treowen Stars 23%, draw 22%, Newport City 55%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.