Cardiff Draconians 3-3 Trefelin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.65
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
52%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.6
No
39%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
25%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+4.1pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.3pp
52%
Away Win
60%
-8.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+3.0pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff Draconians EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Trefelin EU Bookmakers 64%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Cardiff Draconians vs Trefelin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff Draconians and Trefelin couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Trefelin at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Cardiff Draconians vs Trefelin?

Cardiff Draconians 3-3 Trefelin in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff Draconians vs Trefelin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trefelin win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cardiff Draconians 23%, draw 26%, Trefelin 52%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trefelin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trefelin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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