Japonya (K) 3-0 Kanada (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Nov 2025

Japonya (K)
3-0 HT 1-0
Kanada (K)
📅29/11/2025 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2025

Japonya (K) vs Kanada (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.66
6+ Goals
7%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 31% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Japonya (K) v Kanada (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Japonya (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kanada (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
-68% / -68% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.31/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.44
-100% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -81% / +16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
26.0 Crosses 12.2
– Yellow Cards 1.2

Japonya (K) vs Kanada (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Japonya (K)
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Kanada (K)
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
2.17 xG 0.76
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
462 Passes 377
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.02.2023 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) 0-3 HT 0-2 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) SHEBEL
21.07.2021 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) OLİ
06.10.2019 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) 4-0 HT 1-0 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) HAZ
29.10.2014 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) 2-3 HT 0-1 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) HAZ
25.07.2012 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) 2-1 HT 2-0 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) OLİ

Japonya (K) 3-0 Kanada (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Japonya (K)
3-0
AWAY Kanada (K)
3.32 xG 0.34
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 8
418 Passes 334
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
36 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Japonya (K) vs Kanada (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya (K) cruised past Kanada (K) 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Japonya (K) as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Japonya (K) had 54% of the ball to Kanada (K)'s 46%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 3.32 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Japonya (K) had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Japonya (K) and 0.80 for Kanada (K).

What was the final score of Japonya (K) vs Kanada (K)?

Japonya (K) 3-0 Kanada (K) in the Friendlies on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Japonya (K) vs Kanada (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Japonya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Japonya (K) 44%, draw 26%, Kanada (K) 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Japonya (K)), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Japonya (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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