Al Waab 1-2 Umm Salal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
52%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.33
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.55
No
37%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
4.61
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
50%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.72
6+ Goals
8%
7.25
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.9 — our 50% vs market 44.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
51%
Away Win
52%
-0.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
39%
+0.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
61%
-0.4pp
63%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.2pp
37%
BTTS No
40%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Waab EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -10%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
303 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 488 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
Crosses 17.5
Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Waab
1-2
AWAY Umm Salal
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Waab vs Umm Salal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umm Salal edged past Al Waab 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Umm Salal as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Al Waab had 59% of the ball to Umm Salal's 41%, shots finished 11-7.

What was the final score of Al Waab vs Umm Salal?

Al Waab 1-2 Umm Salal in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Waab vs Umm Salal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Umm Salal win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Waab 24%, draw 24%, Umm Salal 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Umm Salal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Umm Salal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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