Raja Beni Mellal 2-2 Stade Marocain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 29 Dec 2024

📅29/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.3pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raja Beni Mellal EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Marocain EU Bookmakers 21%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -16%
2.64/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.79
+86% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -32%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
460 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raja Beni Mellal
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Stade Marocain
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
27.04.2024 Stade Marocain 2-1 HT 1-0 Raja Beni Mellal Raja Beni Mellal FAS2
03.04.2023 Stade Marocain 3-1 HT 2-1 Raja Beni Mellal Raja Beni Mellal FAS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Raja Beni Mellal
2-2
AWAY Stade Marocain
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Raja Beni Mellal vs Stade Marocain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raja Beni Mellal and Stade Marocain shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Raja Beni Mellal at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Raja Beni Mellal had 56% of the ball to Stade Marocain's 44%, shots finished 18-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stade Marocain led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Raja Beni Mellal and 2.50 for Stade Marocain.

What was the final score of Raja Beni Mellal vs Stade Marocain?

Raja Beni Mellal 2-2 Stade Marocain in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raja Beni Mellal vs Stade Marocain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raja Beni Mellal win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Raja Beni Mellal 53%, draw 28%, Stade Marocain 19%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Raja Beni Mellal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAS2 More Morocco - Botola 2
29 Dec 2024
17:00 Olympique Khouribga vs Chabab Atlas Khenifra Analysis →