Haras El Hodood 3-0 El Geish — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 29 Dec 2024

📅29/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.69
Draw
32%
2.7
Away
47%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.36
Over 2.5
26%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
27%
2.44
No
73%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
13%
7.22
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
26%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
24%
-3.2pp
32%
Draw
34%
-1.5pp
47%
Away Win
43%
+4.7pp
74%
Under 2.5
70%
+3.9pp
26%
Over 2.5
30%
-3.9pp
27%
BTTS Yes
37%
-9.9pp
73%
BTTS No
63%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haras El Hodood EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY El Geish EU Bookmakers 46%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.03/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.58
+19% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +130%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
14.5 Crosses 13.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haras El Hodood
2W-2D-2L
AWAY El Geish
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.51 xG 1.15
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
211 Passes 336
67% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.05.2023 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 2-3 HT 2-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
28.12.2022 El Geish El Geish 2-2 HT 0-2 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
25.09.2020 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 0-0 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
08.01.2020 El Geish El Geish 0-3 HT 0-2 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
26.12.2015 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 0-1 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
19.10.2014 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 1-0 HT 1-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haras El Hodood
3-0
AWAY El Geish
0.58 xG 0.45
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 4
245 Passes 331
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
9 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Haras El Hodood vs El Geish
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haras El Hodood swept aside El Geish 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was El Geish at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (73%) landed while under 2.5 goals (74%) missed.

On the day, Haras El Hodood had 43% of the ball to El Geish's 57%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.58 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Haras El Hodood and 1.00 for El Geish.

What was the final score of Haras El Hodood vs El Geish?

Haras El Hodood 3-0 El Geish in the Egypt - Premier League on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haras El Hodood vs El Geish?

Before kick-off our model rated an El Geish win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Haras El Hodood 21%, draw 32%, El Geish 47%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (El Geish), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (El Geish) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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