Chelmsford City 1-4 Dagenham & Redbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 29 Dec 2025

📅29/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.82
Over 2.5
39%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 32% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
12%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
51%
+9.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
49%
-9.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.32/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.25
-8% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelmsford City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
12.07.2019 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 2-1 HT 2-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelmsford City
1-4
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Chelmsford City vs Dagenham & Redbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dagenham & Redbridge cruised past Chelmsford City 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Dagenham & Redbridge made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chelmsford City had 62% of the ball to Dagenham & Redbridge's 38%, shots finished 9-12.

What was the final score of Chelmsford City vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Chelmsford City 1-4 Dagenham & Redbridge in the England - Conference on 29/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelmsford City vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chelmsford City 37%, draw 30%, Dagenham & Redbridge 33%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✗ Under 2.5
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