Mostaganem 0-1 ES Ben Aknoun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 29 Dec 2025

📅29/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.41
Over 2.5
43%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.33
No
47%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
1.91
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
6.48
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.4pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.4pp
25%
Away Win
25%
+0.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
67%
-10.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
33%
+10.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
39%
+14.4pp
47%
BTTS No
61%
-14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mostaganem EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Ben Aknoun EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.07/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/0.63
-16% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +102% / +76%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mostaganem
0-1
AWAY ES Ben Aknoun
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mostaganem vs ES Ben Aknoun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Ben Aknoun nicked a narrow win over Mostaganem 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Mostaganem at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Mostaganem had 61% of the ball to ES Ben Aknoun's 39%, shots finished 14-7.

What was the final score of Mostaganem vs ES Ben Aknoun?

Mostaganem 0-1 ES Ben Aknoun in the Algeria - 1st Division on 29/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mostaganem vs ES Ben Aknoun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mostaganem win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mostaganem 44%, draw 31%, ES Ben Aknoun 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mostaganem), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mostaganem) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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