Al Taawon 1-0 Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 29 Dec 2025

📅29/12/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.47
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.07
Over 2.5
60%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.88
No
44%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.05
6+ Goals
12%
9.99
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.05 — our 28% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
64%
-1.0pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.5pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.3pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Najma EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.51/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/2.57
+5% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 79%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
18.8 Crosses 13.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Taawon
1-0
AWAY Najma
1.38 xG 0.77
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
415 Passes 263
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 9
44 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Taawon vs Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Taawon nicked a narrow win over Najma 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Taawon as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Taawon had 60% of the ball to Najma's 40%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.38 to 0.77.

What was the final score of Al Taawon vs Najma?

Al Taawon 1-0 Najma in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 29/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Taawon vs Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Taawon win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Al Taawon 63%, draw 18%, Najma 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Taawon) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Taawon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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