Elgin City 2-1 Clyde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 30 Jan 2024

📅30/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
26%
4.21
6+ Goals
8%
20.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.2
1/2
5%
30.0
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
14%
5.07
X/2
12%
6.1
X/X
11%
4.85
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
17%
4.13
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.1
Value flag · 2/X at 13.1 — our 11% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
31%
+7.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-6.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elgin City EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Clyde EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +15%
1.35/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.03
+6% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elgin City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Clyde
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 6
23.09.2023 Clyde Clyde 2-1 HT 2-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
10.12.2022 Elgin City Elgin City 0-0 HT 0-0 Clyde Clyde İKCK
19.03.2019 Clyde Clyde 2-0 HT 1-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
09.03.2019 Elgin City Elgin City 2-1 HT 1-1 Clyde Clyde İK2
17.11.2018 Elgin City Elgin City 1-3 HT 0-2 Clyde Clyde İK2
22.09.2018 Clyde Clyde 4-1 HT 3-1 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
POST-MATCH Elgin City vs Clyde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elgin City squeezed past Clyde 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Elgin City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Clyde led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Elgin City and 2.00 for Clyde.

What was the final score of Elgin City vs Clyde?

Elgin City 2-1 Clyde in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elgin City vs Clyde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elgin City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 39%, draw 27%, Clyde 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elgin City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elgin City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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