Oxford United 2-2 Portsmouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 30 Jan 2024

Oxford United
2-2 HT 1-0
Portsmouth
📅30/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Oxford United vs Portsmouth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.06
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.78
6+ Goals
10%
16.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.62
1/2
8%
27.0
1/X
10%
13.6
X/1
8%
6.3
X/2
16%
4.74
X/X
12%
4.44
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
19%
3.1
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Oxford United v Portsmouth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford United EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Portsmouth EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +22%
1.27/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.95
+13% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
255 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 71%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
19.0 Crosses 19.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Oxford United vs Portsmouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oxford United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Portsmouth
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.32 xG 1.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
290 Passes 266
71% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.04.2023 Oxford United Oxford United 1-1 HT 1-1 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1
25.10.2022 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-1 HT 0-1 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
01.03.2022 Portsmouth Portsmouth 3-2 HT 2-1 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
05.02.2022 Oxford United Oxford United 3-2 HT 1-1 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1
23.02.2021 Oxford United Oxford United 0-1 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1
24.11.2020 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-1 HT 1-0 Oxford United Oxford United İN1

Oxford United 2-2 Portsmouth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford United
2-2
AWAY Portsmouth
1.47 xG 1.54
35% Ball Possession 65%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
201 Passes 444
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 44
17 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oxford United vs Portsmouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oxford United and Portsmouth couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Portsmouth at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Oxford United had 35% of the ball to Portsmouth's 65%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 1.47 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portsmouth led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Oxford United and 1.50 for Portsmouth.

What was the final score of Oxford United vs Portsmouth?

Oxford United 2-2 Portsmouth in the England - 1st Division on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford United vs Portsmouth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portsmouth win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Oxford United 28%, draw 29%, Portsmouth 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Portsmouth), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portsmouth) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →