Leicester City 3-1 Swansea City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 30 Jan 2024

Leicester City
3-1 HT 1-0
Swansea City
📅30/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Leicester City vs Swansea City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.67
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.82
6+ Goals
14%
7.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.63
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
19.15
X/1
19%
3.57
X/2
9%
15.4
X/X
7%
7.11
2/1
7%
21.15
2/2
7%
11.7
2/X
6%
19.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.8pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.1pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leicester City v Swansea City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Swansea City EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.75/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.80
-7% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
18.7 Crosses 13.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Leicester City vs Swansea City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leicester City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Swansea City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.89 xG 0.61
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
383 Passes 352
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Swansea City Swansea City 1-3 HT 1-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
03.02.2018 Leicester City Leicester City 1-1 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNP
21.10.2017 Swansea City Swansea City 1-2 HT 0-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
12.02.2017 Swansea City Swansea City 2-0 HT 2-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
27.08.2016 Leicester City Leicester City 2-1 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNP
24.04.2016 Leicester City Leicester City 4-0 HT 2-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNP

Leicester City 3-1 Swansea City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City
3-1
AWAY Swansea City
3.17 xG 1.57
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
512 Passes 395
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 16
7 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leicester City vs Swansea City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leicester City got the better of Swansea City 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leicester City as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Leicester City had 54% of the ball to Swansea City's 46%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 3.17 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leicester City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Leicester City and 1.00 for Swansea City.

What was the final score of Leicester City vs Swansea City?

Leicester City 3-1 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City vs Swansea City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leicester City win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Leicester City 60%, draw 19%, Swansea City 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leicester City), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leicester City) ✓ Over 2.5
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