Instituto Cordoba 3-0 Atletico Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 30 Jan 2024

📅30/01/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.36
Over 2.5
27%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.51
No
69%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
1.81
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
11%
7.86
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.79
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
15.55
X/1
7%
4.64
X/2
14%
5.76
X/X
18%
3.03
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
12%
5.11
2/X
6%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.1pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.4pp
73%
Under 2.5
70%
+3.2pp
27%
Over 2.5
30%
-3.2pp
31%
BTTS Yes
36%
-4.2pp
69%
BTTS No
64%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.31/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.37
-26% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
243 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 73%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
25.0 Crosses 15.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Instituto Cordoba
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.23 xG 0.52
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
193 Passes 325
64% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.08.2023 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 0-0 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
11.03.2023 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
11.08.2015 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJPBN
09.03.2014 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 2-2 HT 2-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Instituto Cordoba
3-0
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
1.93 xG 0.43
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
192 Passes 208
69% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Instituto Cordoba vs Atletico Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Instituto Cordoba cruised past Atletico Tucuman 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Instituto Cordoba made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (69%) landed while under 2.5 goals (73%) missed.

On the day, Instituto Cordoba had 50% of the ball to Atletico Tucuman's 50%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.93 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Instituto Cordoba had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Instituto Cordoba and 0.75 for Atletico Tucuman.

What was the final score of Instituto Cordoba vs Atletico Tucuman?

Instituto Cordoba 3-0 Atletico Tucuman in the Argentina - Premier League on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Instituto Cordoba vs Atletico Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Instituto Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Instituto Cordoba 38%, draw 32%, Atletico Tucuman 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Instituto Cordoba), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Instituto Cordoba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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