Fredrikstad 3-0 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Atlantik Cup, 30 Jan 2024

📅30/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fredrikstad
3-0
AWAY Elfsborg
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fredrikstad vs Elfsborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad cruised past Elfsborg 3-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Fredrikstad found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Fredrikstad had 54% of the ball to Elfsborg's 46%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of Fredrikstad vs Elfsborg?

Fredrikstad 3-0 Elfsborg in the Atlantik Cup on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fredrikstad vs Elfsborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad 35%, draw 25%, Elfsborg 40%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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