Westerlo 4-2 Cercle Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 30 Jan 2024

Westerlo
4-2 HT 4-1
Cercle Brugge
📅30/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Westerlo vs Cercle Brugge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.86
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
22.6
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
14%
8.01
X/2
16%
4.25
X/X
14%
5.12
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
17%
2.43
2/X
9%
13.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.6 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Westerlo v Cercle Brugge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 49%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +21%
1.30/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.38/1.22
+50% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +61%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
299 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 66%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
14.9 Crosses 17.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Westerlo vs Cercle Brugge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Cercle Brugge
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.28 xG 1.67
56% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
305 Passes 227
71% Pass Accuracy 64%
15 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-1 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
03.06.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-0 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
07.05.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 3-5 HT 1-4 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
07.01.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 0-1 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
24.07.2022 Westerlo Westerlo 2-0 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
22.09.2015 Westerlo Westerlo 3-2 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEK

Westerlo 4-2 Cercle Brugge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Westerlo
4-2
AWAY Cercle Brugge
3.02 xG 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
201 Passes 213
60% Pass Accuracy 62%
14 Box Touches 27
7 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs Cercle Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Westerlo beat Cercle Brugge 4-2. Half-time: 4-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Cercle Brugge at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Westerlo had 48% of the ball to Cercle Brugge's 52%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 3.02 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Westerlo and 1.83 for Cercle Brugge.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs Cercle Brugge?

Westerlo 4-2 Cercle Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs Cercle Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 31%, draw 29%, Cercle Brugge 41%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cercle Brugge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cercle Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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