Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 PSIS Semarang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 30 Jan 2024

📅30/01/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY PSIS Semarang EU Bookmakers 30%
+13% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -6%
2.09/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.89
+37% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +62%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
387 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
3W-1D-1L
AWAY PSIS Semarang
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
59% Ball Possession 41%
5 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
459 Passes 262
29.03.2023 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 1-2 HT 1-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
23.08.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 HT 0-0 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang ENDL1
02.02.2022 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 0-0 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
03.10.2021 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 2-3 HT 1-2 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang ENDL1
20.09.2019 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 0-4 HT 0-2 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
1-1
AWAY PSIS Semarang
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 4
8 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Persebaya Surabaya vs PSIS Semarang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persebaya Surabaya and PSIS Semarang shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Persebaya Surabaya at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Persebaya Surabaya had 41% of the ball to PSIS Semarang's 59%, shots finished 7-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Persebaya Surabaya had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Persebaya Surabaya and 0.80 for PSIS Semarang.

What was the final score of Persebaya Surabaya vs PSIS Semarang?

Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 PSIS Semarang in the Indonesia League 1 on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persebaya Surabaya vs PSIS Semarang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Persebaya Surabaya 43%, draw 26%, PSIS Semarang 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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