Fremad Amager 2-3 Hillerod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 30 Jan 2024

📅30/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.48
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
20%
+12.7pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.8pp
48%
Away Win
59%
-10.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.6pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fremad Amager EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Hillerod EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fremad Amager
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Hillerod
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.84 xG 0.85
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
264 Passes 352
67% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2023 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 1-0 HT 0-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
01.04.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 1-0 HT 0-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN1
29.10.2022 Hillerod Hillerod 3-0 HT 2-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN1
02.09.2022 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 1-0 HT 1-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
02.08.2022 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 1-0 HT 1-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fremad Amager
2-3
AWAY Hillerod
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fremad Amager vs Hillerod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hillerod squeezed past Fremad Amager 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hillerod as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fremad Amager had 36% of the ball to Hillerod's 64%, shots finished 4-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fremad Amager had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Fremad Amager and 0.80 for Hillerod.

What was the final score of Fremad Amager vs Hillerod?

Fremad Amager 2-3 Hillerod in the Friendlies on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fremad Amager vs Hillerod?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hillerod win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fremad Amager 32%, draw 20%, Hillerod 48%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hillerod), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hillerod) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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