AFC Bournemouth U21 2-3 Millwall U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 30 Jan 2024

📅30/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.89
Over 2.5
52%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.39
No
51%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
31%
+17.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
69%
-17.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
68%
-18.5pp
51%
BTTS No
32%
+18.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Bournemouth U21 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Millwall U21 EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +80%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Bournemouth U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Millwall U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
30.10.2023 Millwall U21 Millwall U21 1-2 HT 1-1 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Millwall U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millwall U21 edged past AFC Bournemouth U21 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Bournemouth U21 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Millwall U21?

AFC Bournemouth U21 2-3 Millwall U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Millwall U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Bournemouth U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split AFC Bournemouth U21 46%, draw 24%, Millwall U21 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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