Academico Viseu 1-1 Tondela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 30 Jan 2024

Academico Viseu
1-1 HT 0-0
Tondela
📅30/01/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Academico Viseu vs Tondela Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.89
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.6pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.7pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Academico Viseu v Tondela — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academico Viseu EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Tondela EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.02/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.05
-25% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +49%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.8 Crosses 14.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.3

Academico Viseu vs Tondela Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academico Viseu
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Tondela
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.23 xG 1.14
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
257 Passes 284
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Tondela Tondela 2-2 HT 2-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
17.02.2023 Tondela Tondela 1-1 HT 1-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
15.12.2022 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 4-1 HT 2-0 Tondela Tondela PORLC
27.08.2022 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 2-2 HT 0-2 Tondela Tondela POR2
17.07.2015 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 0-0 HT 0-0 Tondela Tondela HAZ
17.02.2015 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-0 HT 0-0 Tondela Tondela POR2

Academico Viseu 1-1 Tondela — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academico Viseu
1-1
AWAY Tondela
1.02 xG 0.99
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
262 Passes 240
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Academico Viseu vs Tondela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academico Viseu and Tondela couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Academico Viseu at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Academico Viseu had 51% of the ball to Tondela's 49%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 1.02 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academico Viseu had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Academico Viseu and 1.00 for Tondela.

What was the final score of Academico Viseu vs Tondela?

Academico Viseu 1-1 Tondela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academico Viseu vs Tondela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academico Viseu win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Academico Viseu 41%, draw 27%, Tondela 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Academico Viseu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academico Viseu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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