Al Jabalain 2-1 Al Qaisoma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 30 Jan 2024

📅30/01/2024 · 🕒15:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-7.5pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.3pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jabalain EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Qaisoma EU Bookmakers 17%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.90/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/2.11
+11% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -29%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jabalain
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Qaisoma
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
22.08.2023 Al Qaisoma Al Qaisoma 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain SUUD1
27.02.2023 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Qaisoma Al Qaisoma SUUD1
03.10.2022 Al Qaisoma Al Qaisoma 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Jabalain
2-1
AWAY Al Qaisoma
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Jabalain vs Al Qaisoma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jabalain squeezed past Al Qaisoma 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Jabalain as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Al Jabalain had 61% of the ball to Al Qaisoma's 39%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Jabalain had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Jabalain and 1.33 for Al Qaisoma.

What was the final score of Al Jabalain vs Al Qaisoma?

Al Jabalain 2-1 Al Qaisoma in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 30/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jabalain vs Al Qaisoma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Jabalain win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Al Jabalain 58%, draw 21%, Al Qaisoma 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Jabalain), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Jabalain) ✓ Over 2.5
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SUUD1 More Saudi Arabia - 1st Division
30 Jan 2024
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