Recoleta 1-6 Universidad Chile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
57%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
24%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
17%
+5.1pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.2pp
57%
Away Win
62%
-4.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.7pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Recoleta EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 66%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.05
+150% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -34%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
255 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
Crosses 15.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Recoleta
1-6
AWAY Universidad Chile
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 9
0 Passes 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Recoleta vs Universidad Chile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Chile cruised past Recoleta 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Universidad Chile as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Recoleta had 39% of the ball to Universidad Chile's 61%, shots finished 10-19.

What was the final score of Recoleta vs Universidad Chile?

Recoleta 1-6 Universidad Chile in the Chile - Cup on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Recoleta vs Universidad Chile?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universidad Chile win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Recoleta 22%, draw 21%, Universidad Chile 57%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universidad Chile), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universidad Chile) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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