Paraguay U20 1-0 Venezuela U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sudamericano U20, 30 Jan 2025

📅30/01/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.29
Draw
35%
3.35
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.81
No
37%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
27%
-3.6pp
35%
Draw
26%
+8.6pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-4.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
63%
BTTS Yes
51%
+11.4pp
37%
BTTS No
49%
-11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paraguay U20 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezuela U20 EU Bookmakers 50%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paraguay U20
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Venezuela U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 1.08
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
270 Passes 332
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 11
9 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2023 Paraguay U20 Paraguay U20 1-1 HT 0-0 Venezuela U20 Venezuela U20 SUD20
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paraguay U20
1-0
AWAY Venezuela U20
0.72 xG 0.82
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
138 Passes 266
63% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paraguay U20 vs Venezuela U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paraguay U20 squeezed past Venezuela U20 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Venezuela U20 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paraguay U20 had 38% of the ball to Venezuela U20's 62%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.72 to 0.82.

What was the final score of Paraguay U20 vs Venezuela U20?

Paraguay U20 1-0 Venezuela U20 in the Sudamericano U20 on 30/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paraguay U20 vs Venezuela U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Venezuela U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Paraguay U20 23%, draw 35%, Venezuela U20 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Venezuela U20), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Venezuela U20) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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