Al Ahli 0-4 Sama Al Sarhan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Jordan - Premier League, 30 Jan 2026

📅30/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.54
Over 2.5
48%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.7pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
61%
-9.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
39%
+9.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.4pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Sama Al Sarhan EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.67/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+8% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
310 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sama Al Sarhan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
14.08.2025 Sama Al Sarhan Sama Al Sarhan 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli ÜRD
POST-MATCH Al Ahli vs Sama Al Sarhan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sama Al Sarhan ran out comfortable winners over Al Ahli 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ahli at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Al Ahli vs Sama Al Sarhan?

Al Ahli 0-4 Sama Al Sarhan in the Jordan - Premier League on 30/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli vs Sama Al Sarhan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli 42%, draw 28%, Sama Al Sarhan 30%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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ÜRD More Jordan - Premier League
30 Jan 2026
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