La Louvière 1-1 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 30 Jan 2026

📅30/01/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.82
Over
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.18
2-3
42%
1.78
4-5
20%
3.57
6+
8%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.18 — our 30% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.54
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
13%
5.52
X/2
12%
6.16
X/X
13%
4.55
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
17%
4.21
2/X
8%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Louvière EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 37%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.25/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.56
-71% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
32.3 Crosses 16.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Louvière
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gent
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.25 xG 1.46
23% Ball Possession 77%
5 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
96 Passes 547
52% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 21
8 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 0
02.08.2025 Gent Gent 1-0 HT 0-0 La Louvière La Louvière BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Louvière
1-1
AWAY Gent
0.43 xG 0.97
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
265 Passes 395
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 26
POST-MATCH La Louvière vs Gent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Louvière and Gent shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, La Louvière had 43% of the ball to Gent's 57%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 0.43 to 0.97.

What was the final score of La Louvière vs Gent?

La Louvière 1-1 Gent in the Belgium - Pro League on 30/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Louvière vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Louvière win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split La Louvière 38%, draw 27%, Gent 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (La Louvière) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (La Louvière) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →