Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 Nantong Zhiyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.94
6+ Goals
8%
17.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 31% vs market 27.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.99
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.15
X/1
17%
3.57
X/2
8%
11.3
X/X
14%
4.97
2/1
5%
25.5
2/2
7%
9.73
2/X
4%
18.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun EU Bookmakers 20%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.39/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/1.09
-13% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +104%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.5
26.5 Crosses 12.5
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
1.69 xG 0.78
53% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
300 Passes 268
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 0-2 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
27.05.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 HT 0-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN
09.06.2021 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 HT 1-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN2
16.05.2021 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 1-2 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
1-0
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun
1.53 xG 0.11
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
235 Passes 279
67% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Nantong Zhiyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao edged past Nantong Zhiyun 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 48% of the ball to Nantong Zhiyun's 52%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 1.53 to 0.11 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Chengdu Qianbao's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chengdu Qianbao and 0.25 for Nantong Zhiyun.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Nantong Zhiyun?

Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 Nantong Zhiyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Nantong Zhiyun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 56%, draw 25%, Nantong Zhiyun 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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