Montrose 1-7 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
55%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.25
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
3.0
6+ Goals
12%
9.18
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.25 — our 26% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+7.6pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.3pp
55%
Away Win
67%
-11.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montrose EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 71%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
0.80/2.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.39/0.64
-13% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montrose
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Falkirk
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
20.02.2024 Falkirk Falkirk 3-0 HT 2-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
28.11.2023 Montrose Montrose 0-0 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
30.09.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 3-2 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
11.04.2023 Montrose Montrose 1-2 HT 0-2 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
07.01.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 2-1 HT 1-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
15.10.2022 Montrose Montrose 1-1 HT 1-1 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
POST-MATCH Montrose vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk cruised past Montrose 7-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Falkirk as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkirk led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Montrose and 1.83 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Montrose vs Falkirk?

Montrose 1-7 Falkirk in the Scotland - 1st Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montrose vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Montrose 21%, draw 23%, Falkirk 55%. The final score 1-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Falkirk), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Falkirk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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