Algarna 0-4 Ytterhogdal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.32
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.96
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.39
No
47%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
26%
+11.0pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.7pp
43%
Away Win
51%
-8.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.4pp
47%
BTTS No
32%
+14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algarna EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ytterhogdal EU Bookmakers 56%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
1.41/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.72/0.93
+0% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +45%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Algarna
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Ytterhogdal
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
05.08.2023 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal 2-1 HT 0-1 Algarna Algarna İSÇ4
01.04.2023 Algarna Algarna 2-0 HT 1-0 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal İSÇ4
27.08.2022 Algarna Algarna 2-3 HT 0-0 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal İSÇ4
07.05.2022 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal 5-2 HT 2-1 Algarna Algarna İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Algarna vs Ytterhogdal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ytterhogdal swept aside Algarna 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ytterhogdal as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ytterhogdal led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Algarna and 2.50 for Ytterhogdal.

What was the final score of Algarna vs Ytterhogdal?

Algarna 0-4 Ytterhogdal in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algarna vs Ytterhogdal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ytterhogdal win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Algarna 37%, draw 20%, Ytterhogdal 43%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ytterhogdal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ytterhogdal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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