Lugano II 3-2 Cham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.43
Over 2.5
61%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+4.6pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.7pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-10.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.4pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Cham EU Bookmakers 57%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-34% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
240 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cham
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
23.09.2023 Cham Cham 5-1 HT 4-0 Lugano II Lugano II İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano II
3-2
AWAY Cham
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Lugano II vs Cham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano II squeezed past Cham 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Cham at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lugano II had 48% of the ball to Cham's 52%, shots finished 12-13.

What was the final score of Lugano II vs Cham?

Lugano II 3-2 Cham in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano II vs Cham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cham win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lugano II 29%, draw 28%, Cham 43%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cham) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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