Villarreal (K) 0-2 Real Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
7.95
Draw
33%
4.95
Away
33%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
10%
+23.7pp
33%
Draw
17%
+16.4pp
33%
Away Win
73%
-40.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal (K) EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.26/2.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.40
-100% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
8.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
17.0 Crosses 21.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal (K)
0-2
AWAY Real Madrid (K)
0.48 xG 2.25
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
190 Passes 399
65% Pass Accuracy 81%
4 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Villarreal (K) vs Real Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid (K) saw off Villarreal (K) 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Real Madrid (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Villarreal (K) had 37% of the ball to Real Madrid (K)'s 63%, shots finished 4-20, expected goals 0.48 to 2.25.

What was the final score of Villarreal (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?

Villarreal (K) 0-2 Real Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Villarreal (K) 33%, draw 33%, Real Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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