30/03/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Lafnitz vs Bregenz Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94
— our 25% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
28%
Draw
26%
34%
Away Win
31%
50%
Under 2.5
44%
50%
Over 2.5
56%
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
49%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lafnitz v Bregenz — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Lafnitz
EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bregenz
EU Bookmakers 34%
-15% /
-6%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+56% /
+56%
1.42/1.86
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
3.23/0.53
-14%
/
-26%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+142%
/
+150%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
335 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
343 · 78%
13.2
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
11.2
Crosses
–
2.2
Yellow Cards
3.0
Lafnitz vs Bregenz Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Lafnitz
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Bregenz
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
58%
Ball Possession
42%
12
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Target
7
5
Corners
3
4
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
02.09.2023
Bregenz
2-1
HT 1-1
Lafnitz
AU2
2-1
HT 1-1
Lafnitz
AU2
POST-MATCH
Lafnitz vs Bregenz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Lafnitz ran out comfortable winners over Bregenz 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Lafnitz found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Lafnitz vs Bregenz?
Lafnitz 3-0 Bregenz in the Austria - 1st Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lafnitz vs Bregenz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lafnitz win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lafnitz 37%, draw 28%, Bregenz 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lafnitz) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Lafnitz)
✗ BTTS Yes
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AU2
More Austria - 1st Division
30 Mar 2024