Lafnitz 3-0 Bregenz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.14
6+ Goals
11%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 25% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.02
1/2
9%
30.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
11%
5.01
X/2
13%
6.49
X/X
14%
5.07
2/1
10%
24.45
2/2
13%
4.35
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lafnitz EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Bregenz EU Bookmakers 34%
-15% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +56% / +56%
1.42/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.23/0.53
-14% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +142% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
13.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.2 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lafnitz
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bregenz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
02.09.2023 Bregenz Bregenz 2-1 HT 1-1 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
POST-MATCH Lafnitz vs Bregenz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lafnitz ran out comfortable winners over Bregenz 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Lafnitz found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Lafnitz vs Bregenz?

Lafnitz 3-0 Bregenz in the Austria - 1st Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lafnitz vs Bregenz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lafnitz win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lafnitz 37%, draw 28%, Bregenz 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lafnitz) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lafnitz) ✗ BTTS Yes
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