Brisbane Roar (K) 1-2 Canberra United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 30 Mar 2024

Brisbane Roar (K)
1-2 HT 1-0
Canberra United (K)
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2023/2024

Brisbane Roar (K) vs Canberra United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.63
Over 2.5
62%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-4.2pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.0pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
34%
+3.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
66%
-3.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.7pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brisbane Roar (K) v Canberra United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.56/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/2.10
-12% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
424 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
24.0 Crosses 24.6
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Brisbane Roar (K) vs Canberra United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Canberra United (K)
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.76 xG 0.87
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
324 Passes 242
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.12.2023 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 5-1 HT 3-0 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
05.12.2019 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-2 HT 0-2 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
25.01.2019 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 4-1 HT 2-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
27.12.2018 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
04.02.2018 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 4-1 HT 2-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
03.12.2017 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW

Brisbane Roar (K) 1-2 Canberra United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
1-2
AWAY Canberra United (K)
1.29 xG 2.07
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
346 Passes 255
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar (K) vs Canberra United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra United (K) nicked a narrow win over Brisbane Roar (K) 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Brisbane Roar (K) carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Brisbane Roar (K) had 56% of the ball to Canberra United (K)'s 44%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.29 to 2.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar (K) had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Brisbane Roar (K) and 1.50 for Canberra United (K).

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Brisbane Roar (K) 1-2 Canberra United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar (K) 56%, draw 21%, Canberra United (K) 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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